<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS: The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[A look ahead to the earnings and economic reports shaping markets in the coming week.]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/s/the-coming-wave</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!OGLy!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9a6926ef-d594-4458-bc15-3858e9f80893_283x283.png</url><title>BREAKINGWATERS: The Coming Wave</title><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/s/the-coming-wave</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2026 06:04:14 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.breakingwaters.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS Media Ltd]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[bryan@breakingwaters.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[bryan@breakingwaters.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[bryan@breakingwaters.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[bryan@breakingwaters.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[Get ahead of Markets | Apr 27 to May 1]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-3cd</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-3cd</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 25 Apr 2026 20:00:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1621687564000-2495018ee08b?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHw1fHxjb2NhLWNvbGF8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzc3MTUwMzk0fDA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1621687564000-2495018ee08b?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHw1fHxjb2NhLWNvbGF8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzc3MTUwMzk0fDA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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href="https://unsplash.com">Unsplash</a></figcaption></figure></div><p><em>Note: None of the material or content contained herein constitutes investment advice. It is solely for educational and informational purposes. Past performance is not an indicator of future performance. Sources: Fiscal.ai, Google Finance, 25 Apr 2026.</em></p><h3 style="text-align: center;">THE VIDEO BRIEF</h3><div class="native-video-embed" data-component-name="VideoPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;3fb474ec-086c-46f9-996f-0c34ff372775&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:null}"></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">THE AUDIO BRIEF</h3><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;63659fa9-1926-4e7a-acee-9c3f627637e4&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:104.515915,&quot;downloadable&quot;:false,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">THE SUMMARY</h3><p>Big Tech dominates the schedule, with <em><strong>Alphabet</strong></em>, <em><strong>Microsoft</strong></em>, <em><strong>Amazon</strong></em>, <em><strong>Meta</strong></em>, and<em><strong> Apple </strong></em>all reporting. Analysts are highly focused on the continued integration and monetization of generative artificial intelligence, alongside robust demand in cloud computing (AWS, Azure) and digital advertising. Outside of tech, consumer spending and global travel resilience will be tested by Visa and Booking Holdings. The pharmaceutical sector will see crucial updates from Eli Lilly regarding its high-demand obesity and diabetes treatments, while Airbus and Coca-Cola will offer insights into commercial supply chains and global pricing power.</p><p><strong>On the economic front, </strong>Central bank policy will take center stage, featuring key interest rate decisions from the US Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan (BoJ), Bank of Canada (BoC), Bank of England (BoE), and the European Central Bank (ECB). Additional critical indicators include US and Euro Area Q1 GDP growth rates, along with pivotal inflation prints from Germany and the broader Euro Area.</p><p><strong>Indirect Market Impacts and Themes:</strong></p><ul><li><p><strong>Interest-Sensitive Sectors:</strong> The heavy slate of global central bank decisions will shape rate-cut expectations. Higher-for-longer rates could heavily pressure growth stocks and tech valuations while supporting financials. Conversely, lower rates or dovish outlooks could boost utilities and real estate.</p></li><li><p><strong>AI Infrastructure CapEx:</strong> High capital expenditures from Meta, Alphabet, and Apple on AI technologies will have major ripple effects on semiconductor and hardware supply chains.</p></li><li><p><strong>Geopolitics &amp; Energy:</strong> Escalating Middle East conflicts and rising energy costs remain key wildcards that could impact global inflation, pressuring manufacturing, industrials, and export-driven equities.</p></li></ul><h3 style="text-align: center;">TOP 10 GLOBAL EARNINGS RELEASES this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/NwgSo/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1c141bf0-0863-40dc-9dc2-07efe7ec6eea_1220x1378.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ddab6061-9d1b-4990-819e-17b601419bd8_1220x1378.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:703,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/NwgSo/1/" width="730" height="703" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">KEY ECONOMIC PRINTS this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/dNBYv/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1513a5e8-e92a-4072-9847-3fdddb7d458d_1220x1374.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c2f0bd98-79c9-4e43-9f63-1b835fabd2fb_1220x1374.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:701,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/dNBYv/1/" width="730" height="701" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">EARNINGS &amp; ECONOMICS &amp; THEIR READ ACROSS </h3><p><em><strong>                                                        </strong></em><strong>~~~ Monday 27 Apr ~~~</strong></p><p><em><strong>Alphabet</strong></em> - Analysts expect Alphabet to deliver strong earnings results, driven primarily by continued momentum in Search and Cloud services. This positive outlook is supported by robust digital advertising demand and the integration of advanced artificial intelligence capabilities across its platform.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>~~~ Tuesday 28 Apr ~~~</strong></p><p><em><strong>Visa</strong></em> - Analysts expect Visa to demonstrate continued growth in its upcoming earnings report. This optimism stems from robust consumer spending and high cross-border transaction volumes, despite concerns regarding global economic stability and shifting regulatory environments impacting the payments industry.</p><p><em><strong>The Coca-Cola</strong></em> - Analysts expect The Coca-Cola Company to report solid growth in its upcoming earnings. This optimism stems from strong global demand, effective pricing strategies, and momentum in emerging markets, which help counteract inflationary pressures and unfavorable currency exchange rates.</p><p><em><strong>Novartis</strong></em> - Analysts expect Novartis to report solid results, though sentiment is mixed. Investors will focus on pipeline execution and whether the company can maintain its history of beating estimates while navigating patent cliff risks and concerns over key cardiovascular drug sales.</p><p><em><strong>Airbus</strong></em> - Analysts anticipate Airbus will report strong performance in its upcoming earnings. Optimism stems from robust commercial aircraft demand and ramped-up production, though investors remain cautious regarding ongoing supply chain disruptions and engine-related technical challenges affecting the industry.</p><p><em><strong>Booking Holdings</strong></em> - Analysts expect Booking Holdings to report year-over-year growth in both earnings and revenue. This positive outlook is driven by resilient global travel demand and the company&#8217;s successful integration of AI-powered features to enhance its travel platform services.</p><p><em><strong>Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision</strong></em> - If the Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision exceeds expectations, it would likely strengthen the Yen and pressure export-oriented stocks. A lower outcome could support equity valuations. Investors should monitor financial and energy sectors, as Middle East tensions and rising fuel costs currently heighten economic uncertainty.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>~~~ Wednesday ~~~</strong></p><p><em><strong>Microsoft</strong></em> - Analysts expect Microsoft to report strong earnings growth, fueled by robust demand for Azure cloud services and the expansion of AI-integrated features. This optimism stems from the company&#8217;s leading position in enterprise software and its successful monetization of generative AI.</p><p><em><strong>Amazon.com</strong></em> - Analysts expect Amazon.com to deliver strong results in its upcoming report. Optimism is driven by significant growth in AWS cloud services, rising advertising revenue, and improved profitability in its retail sector following successful operational efficiency improvements and cost management strategies.</p><p><em><strong>Meta Platforms</strong></em> - Analysts expect Meta Platforms to report strong earnings driven by robust advertising demand and successful AI integration. This positive outlook is fueled by increased user engagement, although significant spending on infrastructure and future technologies continues to be a primary focus.</p><p><em><strong>Industrial and Commercial Bank of China</strong></em> - Analysts expect Industrial and Commercial Bank of China to report modest earnings growth. This outlook is driven by narrowing net interest margins and exposure to the property sector, partially offset by steady performance in services and stable asset quality.</p><p><em><strong>LVMH Mo&#235;t Hennessy</strong></em> - Analysts expect Alphabet to report strong results, driven by massive growth in Cloud services and resilient Search performance. This optimism stems from robust demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure and the successful integration of Gemini across its enterprise and consumer platforms.</p><p><em><strong>Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel APR</strong></em> - If Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel APR exceeds estimates, it could pressure the ECB to maintain higher rates, potentially weighing on European growth stocks. A lower reading might support easing cycles, benefiting financials. Recent Middle East conflict and soaring energy prices remain critical factors impacting these inflationary trends.</p><p><em><strong>United States Housing Starts MAR</strong></em> - If United States Housing Starts MAR exceeds estimates, it could signal economic resilience, potentially delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts and pressuring growth sectors. A miss might bolster easing expectations. Investors should watch the Northeast and Midwest for value. Persistent affordability issues and Middle East-related energy shocks remain key influences.</p><p><em><strong>Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision</strong></em> - If the Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision were to exceed estimates, growth-sensitive sectors would likely face pressure. Conversely, a lower outcome should support utilities. Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and energy supply shocks remain critical factors that could impact this metric and broader Canadian equity market volatility.</p><p><em><strong>United States Fed Interest Rate Decision</strong></em> - A higher United States Fed Interest Rate Decision would likely pressure growth stocks and tech, while a lower result could boost interest-sensitive sectors like utilities. Conflict in the Middle East and rising energy prices remain key factors. Investors should watch the financial and real estate sectors closely for shifts.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>~~~ Thursday ~~~</strong></p><p><em><strong>Apple</strong></em> - Analysts expect Apple to deliver positive earnings results driven by robust growth in Services and stabilizing iPhone demand. This outlook is supported by optimism surrounding AI integration and the potential for a new hardware upgrade cycle among consumers.</p><p><em><strong>Eli Lilly </strong></em> - Analysts expect Eli Lilly to deliver strong results driven by high demand for its obesity and diabetes treatments. This optimism stems from the successful expansion of manufacturing capacity and the continued market leadership of its core metabolic health portfolio.</p><p><em><strong>China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI APRIL</strong></em> - If the China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI for April exceeds estimates, it could bolster global manufacturing and emerging market equities. A miss might pressure industrial sectors and prompt central bank easing. Investors should watch Chinese industrials and regional trade partners. Recent Middle East conflicts have increased raw material costs.</p><p><em><strong>Euro Area GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash Q1</strong></em> - An upside surprise for Euro Area GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash Q1 could prompt the ECB to maintain restrictive rates, potentially weighing on growth-sensitive sectors. Conversely, a weaker reading might bolster rate-cut expectations. Middle East tensions and US trade tariffs remain critical factors impacting regional growth and investment sentiment.</p><p><em><strong>Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Flash APR</strong></em> - If the Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Flash APR exceeds estimates, it could delay ECB rate cuts, potentially weighing on growth sectors like technology. Conversely, a lower reading would likely support easing, benefiting rate-sensitive financials. Middle East conflict-driven energy price volatility remains a significant recent factor for future prints.</p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision</strong></em> - If the United Kingdom BoE Interest Rate Decision were to exceed estimates, it could pressure UK equities, particularly growth sectors. A lower result would likely support financial and housing themes. Ongoing conflict in the Middle East remains a key factor that could impact future inflationary trends and rate decisions.</p><p><em><strong>Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision</strong></em> - If the Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision exceeds estimates, it could pressure growth stocks by signaling tighter policy. A lower outcome might support financials and utilities through rate cut expectations. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and fluctuating energy prices remain key factors impacting future rate trajectories.</p><p><em><strong>United States GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv Q1</strong></em> - If United States GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv Q1 exceeds estimates, it could support equity valuations and delay rate cuts. A miss might heighten recession fears. Investors should watch small-caps and cyclical sectors. Recent Middle East tensions and government shutdowns could weigh on these growth figures.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[Get ahead of Markets | Apr 20 to 24]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-326</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-326</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 19 Apr 2026 16:34:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1569629743817-70d8db6c323b?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxfHxib2VpbmclMjA3Mzd8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzc2NjE2MjQ4fDA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo by <a href="https://unsplash.com/@snowjam">John McArthur</a> on <a href="https://unsplash.com">Unsplash</a></figcaption></figure></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">AUDIO BRIEF</h3><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;36645109-5f40-4b52-b391-5249968716d1&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:111.5951,&quot;downloadable&quot;:false,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">SUMMARY</h3><p>Next week (April 20-24) brings a critical wave of corporate earnings and global economic reports.</p><p><strong>Key Earnings:</strong> Optimism surrounds <strong>General Electric</strong> and <strong>Tesla</strong>, driven by robust aerospace demand and anticipated production growth, respectively. <strong>Intel</strong> is also expected to perform well due to rising AI hardware demand and its foundry model transition. Conversely, <strong>Boeing</strong> is anticipated to post significant losses stemming from ongoing 737 MAX safety investigations and delivery issues. Consumer health appears resilient, with <strong>American Express</strong>, <strong>Nestl&#233;</strong>, and <strong>Procter &amp; Gamble</strong> projecting strong or steady results despite rising input costs.</p><p><strong>Key Economic Reports:</strong> Global inflation and manufacturing data will take center stage. Crucial releases include <strong>inflation rates for Canada, the UK, and Japan</strong>, alongside <strong>Manufacturing PMI flashes for Germany and the UK</strong>. The <strong>US will also report on retail sales</strong>, providing deeper insight into consumer discretionary spending.</p><p><strong>Indirect Market Impacts and Themes:</strong></p><ul><li><p><strong>Interest-Rate Sensitive Sectors:</strong> Inflation reports across Canada, the UK, and Japan could sway central bank rate policies, creating ripple effects for <strong>growth</strong>. For example, rising Japanese inflation could prompt interest rate hikes, benefiting their financial sector while weighing on export-oriented themes.</p></li><li><p><strong>Geopolitics and Energy:</strong> The recent <strong>Middle East conflict and energy price spikes</strong> are recurring risk factors. These could dampen US consumer spending and disrupt European sectors like <strong>automotive, chemicals, aerospace, and transport</strong>.</p></li><li><p><strong>Tech &amp; Renewables:</strong> Intel&#8217;s growth highlights the continued indirect impact of <strong>AI development</strong>. Additionally, GE Vernova&#8217;s strong outlook points to a booming <strong>electrification and renewable energy</strong> sector.</p></li></ul><h3 style="text-align: center;">TOP 10 GLOBAL EARNINGS RELEASES this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/zla1A/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7b8b7bf0-4d9b-4c59-81e2-ee3d747ce9d2_1220x1442.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1817b551-41f9-4bad-b2df-6231a36a7fe1_1220x1442.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:737,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/zla1A/1/" width="730" height="737" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">KEY ECONOMIC PRINTS this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/FG7WG/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a457f90c-853f-427f-bd2d-4b055360028b_1220x982.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c0c0e835-899e-4701-85d9-a2cf7431aa3b_1220x982.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:498,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/FG7WG/1/" width="730" height="498" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">EARNINGS &amp; ECONOMICS &amp; THEIR READ ACROSS </h3><p><em><strong>                                                         ~~~ Monday 20 Apr ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>Canada Inflation Rate YoY MAR</strong></em> - If Canada Inflation Rate YoY MAR exceeds estimates, it could prompt tighter Bank of Canada policy, potentially pressuring growth stocks. A lower reading might support rate cut expectations, benefiting financials and utilities. Recent fluctuations in global energy prices and housing costs remain key factors impacting these inflationary trends.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>~~~ Tuesday 21 Apr ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>General Electric</strong></em> - Analysts expect General Electric to report strong performance in its upcoming earnings report. This optimism is fueled by robust demand in the aerospace sector and improved operational efficiency, despite broader economic uncertainties and persistent global supply chain challenges.</p><p><em><strong>UnitedHealth Group Incorporated</strong></em> - Analysts expect Merdeka Copper Gold to report improved performance in its upcoming report. This optimism is driven by anticipated growth in production and favorable commodity prices, despite some recent downward revisions in consensus estimates and past performance misses.</p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom Unemployment Rate FEB</strong></em> - If the United Kingdom Unemployment Rate FEB exceeds estimates, it could pressure the Bank of England to cut rates, benefiting interest-sensitive sectors like homebuilders. A lower rate might bolster the pound but signal persistent inflation. Investors should monitor youth employment and recent tax changes impacting business hiring costs.</p><p><em><strong>United States Retail Sales MoM MAR</strong></em> - If United States Retail Sales MoM MAR exceeds estimates, it would likely boost the retail and consumer discretionary sectors. A lower result could heighten recession fears. Investors should watch the technology and consumer sectors. Recent Mideast conflict and energy price spikes could dampen future consumer spending behavior.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>~~~ Wednesday 22 Apr ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>Tesla</strong></em> - Analysts expect Tesla to report improved performance in its upcoming report. This optimism is driven by anticipated growth in production and favorable commodity prices, despite some recent downward revisions in consensus estimates and past performance misses.</p><p><em><strong>GE Vernova</strong></em> - Analysts expect GE Vernova to report strong growth in its upcoming earnings. This positive outlook is driven by increased demand for electrification and renewable energy solutions, coupled with improved operational efficiency and a robust backlog of global power projects.</p><p><em><strong>The Boeing</strong></em> Co. - Analysts expect Boeing to report a significant loss in its upcoming earnings report. This negative outlook is driven by ongoing production delays, safety investigations, and delivery issues following the mid-air door plug blowout on a 737 MAX jet.</p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY MAR</strong></em> - If United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY MAR exceeds estimates, it could pressure the Bank of England to raise interest rates, potentially Weighing on equities. Conversely, a miss might support rate cuts. Investors should watch the energy and transport sectors, as Middle East conflict and rising oil prices impact future trends.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>~~~ Thursday 23 Apr ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>Intel</strong></em> - Analysts expect Intel to report improved performance driven by its ongoing transition to a foundry model and increased demand for AI-related hardware. Growth is anticipated from new product launches and cost-saving measures despite competitive pressures and segment volatility.</p><p><em><strong>Germany S&amp;P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash APR</strong></em> - If the Germany S&amp;P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash exceeds estimates, it could strengthen the Euro and bolster industrial stocks. A miss would suggest slowing growth, potentially pressuring the DAX. Investors should watch the automotive and chemical sectors. Recent Middle East tensions and supply chain disruptions may impact future readings.</p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom S&amp;P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash APR</strong></em> - If United Kingdom S&amp;P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash APR exceeds estimates, it could support the pound and manufacturing stocks. Falling short might prompt interest rate cuts. Investors should monitor the aerospace, defense, and energy sectors. Recent Middle East conflict and supply chain disruptions could pressure future readings.</p><p><em><strong>Japan Inflation Rate YoY MAR</strong></em> - If Japan Inflation Rate YoY MAR exceeds estimates, it could prompt the central bank to raise interest rates, potentially benefiting the financial sector while weighing on export-oriented themes. A miss might sustain monetary easing. Recent energy price volatility and the weaker yen could impact future readings.</p><p><em><strong>Nestl&#233;</strong></em> - Analysts anticipate Nestl&#233; will demonstrate resilient organic sales growth in its upcoming earnings report. This optimism stems from robust pricing power and sustained demand for premium brands, which helps the company offset rising costs and currency fluctuations.</p><p><em><strong>American Express</strong></em> - Analysts expect American Express to report strong performance driven by resilient spending from affluent consumers and a recovery in travel. This optimism is balanced by concerns regarding rising credit delinquency rates and the impact of persistent inflation.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>~~~ Friday 24 Apr ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>The Procter &amp; Gamble</strong></em> - Analysts expect The Procter &amp; Gamble Company to report moderate growth in its upcoming earnings. This performance is attributed to resilient consumer demand and effective pricing strategies, despite ongoing concerns regarding rising input costs and unfavorable foreign exchange rates.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[Apr 13 to 17]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-c33</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-c33</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 12 Apr 2026 21:06:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1552958700-7004a2c5cb60?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwzfHxnb2xkbWFuJTIwc2FjaHN8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzc2MDI4MTAxfDA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo by <a href="https://unsplash.com/@jordanmerrick">Jordan Merrick</a> on <a href="https://unsplash.com">Unsplash</a></figcaption></figure></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">AUDIO BRIEF</h3><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;9e79c363-a503-4ecb-841c-e8d43c6b79e7&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:118.177956,&quot;downloadable&quot;:false,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">SUMMARY</h3><p>Major financial institutions <strong>JPMorgan Chase</strong> and <strong>BlackRock</strong> are expected to report strong performance on Tuesday, driven by robust investment banking, interest income, and increased investor inflows. In the technology and energy spaces, <strong>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing</strong> is anticipated to report strong results on Thursday due to surging AI chip demand, while <strong>Contemporary Amperex Technology</strong> is expected to see growth propelled by high global electric vehicle and energy storage battery demand.</p><p><strong>Economic Data &amp; Their Indirect Impacts:</strong> In the US, Monday&#8217;s <strong>Existing Home Sales</strong> could sway homebuilder and retail stocks, while Tuesday&#8217;s <strong>PPI report</strong> will be a crucial indicator for interest rate expectations. A hotter-than-expected PPI could delay rate cuts, pressuring equities and directly impacting interest-sensitive, energy, and transportation sectors.</p><p><strong>Global Markets:</strong> China will release major economic indicators, including <strong>Q1 GDP, Trade Balance, Industrial Production, and Retail Sales</strong>. Strong Chinese data could positively ripple into emerging markets, advanced manufacturing, and renewable energy sectors. However, structural risks like US tariffs, property sector stagnation, and slowing domestic EV demand linger. Furthermore, the <strong>UK&#8217;s GDP report</strong> on Thursday will steer the GBP and consumer-facing sectors by shaping Bank of England rate cut expectations.</p><p><strong>Broad Themes to Watch:</strong> Across both earnings and economic fronts, <strong>rising commodity prices, surging oil, and Middle East geopolitical tensions</strong> are recurring indirect themes. These factors threaten to heighten global stagflation risks, inflate industrial output costs, and pressure future mortgage rates.</p><h3 style="text-align: center;">TOP 10 GLOBAL EARNINGS RELEASES this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/tIeFy/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/70db07eb-910b-4e66-a551-7170846aeaa4_1220x1726.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7ec1adbc-e6d3-4cf8-a927-68469091d938_1220x1726.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:893,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/tIeFy/1/" width="730" height="893" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">KEY ECONOMIC PRINTS this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/TrIcG/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a35a2200-78e2-4c5f-8370-f99dfee984df_1220x950.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/68124c09-6a1e-4e0f-8966-91153133c092_1220x970.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:486,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/TrIcG/1/" width="730" height="486" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">EARNINGS &amp; ECONOMICS &amp; THEIR READ ACROSS </h3><p><em><strong>                                                          </strong></em>~~~ Monday 13 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>The Goldman Sachs Group</strong></em> - Analysts expect Goldman Sachs to report significant year-over-year growth in its upcoming earnings. This optimism is driven by record deal activity and the firm&#8217;s leading market share in investment banking fees and mergers and acquisitions advisory services.</p><p><em><strong>United States Existing Home Sales MAR</strong></em> - If United States Existing Home Sales MAR exceeds estimates, it could boost homebuilder and retail sectors. A miss might heighten recession fears. Investors should focus on the South and West regions. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and rising energy prices could impact future mortgage rates and demand.</p><p style="text-align: center;">~~~ Tuesday 14 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>JPMorgan Chase</strong></em> - Analysts expect JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. to report strong financial performance. This positive outlook is driven by anticipated growth in interest income and robust investment banking activity, reflecting overall market optimism and the company&#8217;s solid operational efficiency.</p><p><em><strong>BlackRock</strong></em> - Analysts expect BlackRock to report growth in earnings and revenue, driven by strong assets under management and increased investor inflows. Favorable market conditions and expanded technology services further support positive expectations for the company&#8217;s upcoming financial performance.</p><p><em><strong>China Balance of Trade MAR</strong></em> - If China Balance of Trade MAR exceeds estimates, it could boost Chinese manufacturing equities and the Renminbi. A miss might signal weak global demand. Recent U.S. tariff hikes and property sector stagnation remain significant long-term headwinds.</p><p><em><strong>United States PPI MoM MAR</strong></em> - If United States PPI MoM MAR exceeds estimates, it could pressure equity markets and delay interest rate cuts. Conversely, a lower result would likely support stocks. Investors should watch energy, transportation, and interest-sensitive sectors. Recent Middle East tensions and surging oil prices remain significant risks for future inflation.</p><p style="text-align: center;">~~~ Wednesday 15 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>ASML Holding</strong></em> - Analysts expect ASML to show improved financial performance and significant growth driven by robust AI demand. This is also supported by anticipated increases in production, and strategic progress at key projects and processing facilities.</p><p><em><strong>Contemporary Amperex Technology Co</strong></em> - Analysts expect Contemporary Amperex Technology to report continued growth. This positive outlook is driven by high global demand for electric vehicle and energy storage batteries, alongside the company&#8217;s leading market share, and expanding production capacity.</p><p style="text-align: center;">~~~ Thursday 16 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company </strong></em>- Analysts expect TSMC to report strong financial results and raise annual guidance. This optimism is driven by surging demand for AI chips from major tech clients, higher pricing for advanced technologies, and improving operational efficiencies across production nodes.</p><p><em><strong>China GDP Growth Rate YoY Q1</strong></em> - If China GDP Growth Rate YoY Q1 exceeds estimates, it could bolster Chinese equities and emerging markets. Conversely, a miss might pressure regional stocks and prompt central bank easing.</p><p><em><strong>China Industrial Production YoY MAR</strong></em> - If China Industrial Production YoY MAR exceeds estimates, it could bolster manufacturing and mining equities. Conversely, a miss might weaken sentiment for industrial and materials sectors. Middle East tensions and rising commodity prices could impact future output costs. </p><p><em><strong>China Retail Sales YoY MAR</strong></em> - If China Retail Sales YoY MAR exceeds estimates, it could bolster consumer discretionary and automotive sectors while strengthening the Hang Seng index. Conversely, a miss might heighten deflationary concerns. </p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom GDP MoM FEB</strong></em> - If United Kingdom GDP MoM FEB exceeds estimates, it could support the GBP and reduce expectations for imminent interest rate cuts. A miss would likely bolster the case for easing. Investors should monitor consumer-facing sectors and energy prices, as Middle East tensions and recent oil spikes heighten stagflation risks.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[Apr 6 to 10]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-502</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-502</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 05 Apr 2026 21:58:47 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5K9n!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e0ff582-1276-420e-87c2-3f1ccc2df3d3_960x540.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo by <a href="https://unsplash.com/@blueeyeaa">TuanAnh Blue</a> on <a href="https://unsplash.com">Unsplash</a></figcaption></figure></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">AUDIO BRIEF</h3><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;36102049-b66a-4aa0-8086-5aefe34c056b&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:107.10204,&quot;downloadable&quot;:false,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><h3>SUMMARY</h3><p><strong>Next week (April 6&#8211;10)</strong> brings a critical wave of earnings and economic reports highlighting bifurcated consumer demand, lingering cost pressures, and resilient travel trends.</p><p><strong>Key Reports:</strong></p><ul><li><p><strong>Metals &amp; Mining (April 6):</strong> <strong>PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk</strong> is poised for improved financial performance, driven by favorable commodity prices and higher production volumes that are helping the company recover from previous losses.</p></li><li><p><strong>Apparel &amp; Retail (April 7 &amp; 9):</strong> <strong>Levi Strauss &amp; Co.</strong> expects a year-over-year earnings decline due to cautious consumer discretionary spending, though direct-to-consumer and international sales remain a bright spot. Conversely, Japan&#8217;s <strong>Fast Retailing Co.</strong> projects record performance fueled by international expansion and a consumer recovery in China, while <strong>Seven &amp; i Holdings</strong> anticipates significant growth from its successful restructuring into a pure convenience store model and robust overseas operations.</p></li><li><p><strong>Travel &amp; Leisure (April 8):</strong> <strong>Delta Air Lines</strong> expects year-over-year earnings and revenue growth backed by strong travel demand and premium seat sales.</p></li><li><p><strong>Beverages (April 8):</strong> <strong>Constellation Brands</strong> anticipates lower earnings driven by sluggish wine and spirits sales, brewery expansion costs, and higher material costs.</p></li></ul><p><strong>Indirect Themes and Sector Impacts:</strong> These reports signal broader market crosscurrents that will likely impact other sectors. Delta&#8217;s specific caution regarding <strong>elevated labor expenses and rising jet fuel costs</strong> could indirectly pressure the broader <strong>transportation and energy sectors</strong>, as these margin headwinds are rarely isolated to a single airline. The stark divergence in global retail - where US consumer discretionary spending shows signs of caution while Asian and international markets thrive -suggests the broader <strong>consumer discretionary sector</strong> may continue to face headwinds in the US but tailwinds internationally.</p><p>Additionally, Constellation&#8217;s report of &#8220;sluggish wine and spirits sales&#8221; alongside higher material costs may signal shifting consumer preferences and sticky supply-chain inflation that could broadly impact the <strong>alcohol and hospitality industries</strong>. Finally, PT Merdeka&#8217;s positive outlook reflects broader momentum that could lift the <strong>global commodities and materials sectors</strong>, supported by strong underlying commodity pricing.</p><h3>TOP 10 GLOBAL EARNINGS RELEASES this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/j7c80/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8a646ccc-5c8a-4f8d-939d-0a2ecb1948e0_1220x1662.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d39e205c-89d8-4f33-b4d7-2f517cfada6d_1220x1662.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:844,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/j7c80/1/" width="730" height="844" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3>KEY ECONOMIC PRINTS this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/l9vpr/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/820f6be1-e3bb-4b74-8344-d05ecc8ceac5_1220x812.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/28f0bdea-a347-4e59-af98-38d5ea89eee5_1220x832.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:414,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/l9vpr/1/" width="730" height="414" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3>EARNINGS &amp; ECONOMICS &amp; THEIR READ ACROSS </h3><p><em><strong>                                                          </strong></em>~~~ Monday 06 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk</strong></em> - Analysts expect improved financial performance for PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk, driven by higher production volumes and favorable commodity prices. They anticipate a recovery from previous losses, supported by strategic project developments and enhanced operational efficiencies across mining assets.</p><p style="text-align: center;">~~~ Tuesday 07 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>Levi Strauss &amp;</strong></em> - Analysts expect Levi Strauss &amp; Co. to report a year-over-year earnings decline despite revenue growth. Projections are influenced by caution regarding consumer spending and discretionary demand, even as international regions and direct-to-consumer sales show continued strength and improved margins.</p><p style="text-align: center;">~~~ Wednesday 08 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>Delta Air Lines</strong></em> - Analysts expect Delta Air Lines to report year-over-year growth in earnings and revenue. This optimism is driven by strong travel demand and premium seat sales, though analysts remain cautious due to rising jet fuel costs and elevated labor expenses.</p><p><em><strong>Constellation Brands</strong></em> - Analysts anticipate Constellation Brands will report lower revenue and earnings. This weakness is driven by sluggish wine and spirits sales after recent divestitures, along with higher material costs and increased spending on brewery expansions.</p><p style="text-align: center;">~~~ Thursday 09 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>Fast Retailing Co</strong></em> - Analysts expect Fast Retailing Co. to report record performance in its upcoming report. This bullish outlook is driven by strong international expansion, particularly a recovery in China, and improved operational efficiencies that have led to upwardly revised profit targets.</p><p><em><strong>Seven &amp; i Holdings Co</strong></em> - Analysts expect Seven &amp; i Holdings to report significant earnings growth. This optimism is driven by successful restructuring into a pure convenience store group, improved merchandise margins, strategic asset optimization, and robust performance in overseas operations despite domestic consumer headwinds.</p><p><em><strong>Japan Consumer Confidence MAR</strong></em> - If Japan Consumer Confidence MAR exceeds estimates, it could bolster the yen and encourage BoJ rate hikes, potentially weighing on export-heavy sectors. Conversely, a miss might support dovish policy. Investors should watch the retail and consumer discretionary sectors, as the Middle East conflict and rising energy costs impact sentiment.</p><p><em><strong>Germany Balance of Trade FEB</strong></em> - If the Germany Balance of Trade exceeds estimates, it could strengthen the Euro and favor industrial and automotive sectors. Conversely, a lower result might signal weak global demand, potentially prompting a more dovish ECB stance. Recent Middle East logistics disruptions and trade tensions with China remain key risks.</p><p><em><strong>United States GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4</strong></em> - If the United States GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final Q4 exceeds estimates, it would likely bolster equity markets and encourage the Fed to maintain higher rates. Conversely, a lower result would favor defensive sectors and interest-sensitive growth stocks. Recent government shutdowns and Middle East conflict remain key volatility drivers.</p><p style="text-align: center;">~~~ Friday 10 Apr ~~~</p><p><em><strong>China Inflation Rate YoY MAR</strong></em> - If the China Inflation Rate YoY MAR exceeds estimates, it could prompt tighter monetary policy, potentially weighing on growth stocks. Conversely, a lower result might encourage easing. Investors should watch the technology and consumer sectors. Recent US-China trade disruptions and shifting supply chains could influence future inflationary pressures.</p><p><em><strong>Canada Unemployment Rate MAR</strong></em> - If the Canada Unemployment Rate exceeds estimates, it could signal economic cooling, potentially leading the central bank to lower rates, benefiting interest-sensitive sectors like utilities and real estate. Conversely, a lower rate might suggest labor tightness. Investors should monitor defense and construction sectors amid Middle East conflict concerns.</p><p><em><strong>United States Inflation Rate YoY MAR</strong></em> - If United States Inflation Rate YoY MAR exceeds estimates, it could pressure the Fed to maintain higher interest rates, potentially hurting growth stocks. A lower reading might support rate cuts. Investors should watch the technology and real estate sectors, as Middle East tensions and rising energy costs impact future data.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[Mar 30 - Apr 3]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-19c</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-19c</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 29 Mar 2026 20:42:31 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1716193696093-9c54b6a290e5?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHw1MXx8ZnJpZGdlJTIwZnJlZXplcnxlbnwwfHx8fDE3NzQ4MDAwODl8MA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption"></figcaption></figure></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">AUDIO BRIEF</h3><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;6c544daf-11af-4434-8dbd-dd5eb5ba077b&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:118.46531,&quot;downloadable&quot;:false,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><h3 style="text-align: center;">SUMMARY</h3><p>The upcoming week of March 30 to April 3 brings crucial earnings and economic data that will ripple across global markets.</p><p>In earnings, consumer and retail face mixed signals: NIKE expects an earnings decline due to tariff and Chinese recovery concerns, pressuring global discretionary sectors, whereas China Tourism Group&#8217;s duty-free growth signals stabilization for luxury and aviation. Technology sees significant upside, as GigaDevice Semiconductor is poised to beat estimates, boosting <strong>AI and semiconductor infrastructure</strong>. Meanwhile, SAIC Motor&#8217;s strong EV export sales highlight momentum for <strong>global EV auto and emerging market supply chains</strong>. Financials and industrials look steady, with ICBC and Midea Group projecting stable margins that support the broader banking and home appliance sectors.</p><p>On the economic front, inflation and manufacturing metrics will heavily dictate central bank policies. Euro Area and German inflation prints (forecasted at 2.70% and 2.60%) could force the ECB to hike rates, pressuring European equities, while lower readings would support a rate-cutting cycle. Similarly, strong Chinese PMIs could bolster <strong>global materials and industrials</strong>, while misses would pressure Asian equities amidst ongoing trade tensions.</p><p>Finally, US labor and consumer data will be pivotal for the Federal Reserve. A tight labor market - reflected by high JOLTs (6.7M), low unemployment (4.50%), and strong non-farm payrolls (50K) - could keep rates &#8220;higher for longer,&#8221; weighing on <strong>tech and growth stocks</strong>. Conversely, signs of labor cooling or weaker retail sales (forecasted at 0.30%) would fuel rate-cut hopes, directly benefiting <strong>interest-sensitive sectors and consumer discretionary markets</strong></p><h3 style="text-align: center;"><strong>TOP 10 GLOBAL EARNINGS RELEASES this WEEK COMING</strong></h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/fMXvw/1/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6d7488db-df7c-4cb0-bfec-bff8f45bb186_1220x2014.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d5bbb0e4-6edb-4c27-b9f1-08c3033ee158_1220x2014.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:1029,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/fMXvw/1/" width="730" height="1029" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3 style="text-align: center;"><strong>KEY ECONOMIC PRINTS this WEEK COMING</strong></h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/na7q0/3/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c6e1c66d-e783-4bff-8c4f-17b43c9b49f7_1220x1204.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7d28ffa8-0d51-4231-b032-254c86dd8643_1220x1204.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:639,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/na7q0/3/" width="730" height="639" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3 style="text-align: center;"><strong>EARNINGS, ECONOMICS &amp; THEIR READ ACROSS</strong></h3><h4 style="text-align: center;">~~~ Monday 30 Mar ~~~</h4><p><em><strong>China Tourism Group</strong></em> - Analysts expect China Tourism Group to face short-term pressure despite recovering travel. Growth is driven by expanded duty-free operations and increased inbound tourism. This indicates positive read-across for the broader aviation, hospitality, and luxury retail sectors as consumer spending and infrastructure stabilize.</p><p><em><strong>Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR</strong></em> - A high Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel MAR reading could lead the ECB to raise rates, potentially weighing on German equities. Conversely, lower inflation might support a rate-cutting cycle. Investors should monitor the automotive and manufacturing sectors, as trade tensions and Middle East conflict risk further inflationary pressure.</p><h4 style="text-align: center;">~~~ Tuesday 31 Mar ~~~</h4><p><em><strong>Industrial and Commercial Bank of China</strong></em> - Analysts expect marginal net profit growth. This outlook is driven by anticipated gains from investments, stabilizing margins, and credit growth. This suggests positive read-across for the broader banking sector and international trade finance infrastructure.</p><p><em><strong>Midea Group Co</strong></em> - Analysts expect steady Midea performance, supported by stable margins and credit growth. Positive sentiment stems from its strong position in consumer appliances and improved asset quality. This suggests positive read-across for the global home appliance sector and industrial automation infrastructure.</p><p><em><strong>NIKE</strong></em> - Analysts expect a year-over-year decline in earnings with flat revenue. Concerns include China&#8217;s recovery and tariff impacts. This could suggest negative read-across for global consumer discretionary sectors and firms exposed to Chinese industrial demand and international trade volatility.</p><p><em><strong>GigaDevice Semiconductor</strong></em> - Analysts expect strong GigaDevice growth, driven by higher expectations and a history of exceeding estimates. This suggests positive read-across for the semiconductor memory cycle and AI computing infrastructure, potentially benefiting storage and microcontroller peers as industry supply-demand dynamics improve.</p><p><em><strong>China NBS Manufacturing PMI MAR</strong></em> - If the China NBS Manufacturing PMI exceeds estimates, it could bolster global materials and industrial sectors. Conversely, a miss might pressure Asian equities. Investors should monitor large-cap industrials and the trade-sensitive tech sector. Recent Middle East tensions and shifting export demand remain significant headwinds for future factory activity.</p><p><em><strong>Euro Inflation Rate YoY Flash MAR</strong></em> - If Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Flash MAR exceeds estimates, the ECB might hike rates, pressuring growth equities. A lower result could support current rates, aiding banking and consumer sectors. Recent Middle East conflict and energy supply disruptions at Ras Laffan significantly impact these future inflation readings.</p><p><em><strong>JOLTs Job Openings FEB</strong></em> - High United States JOLTs Job Openings would suggest labor tightness, potentially prompting the Fed to maintain higher rates, pressuring growth equities. Lower results could signal cooling, supporting rate-cut hopes. Investors should watch the healthcare and professional services sectors. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could impact future hiring.</p><p><em><strong>Tankan Large Manufacturers Index Q1</strong></em> - If the Japan Tankan Large Manufacturers Index exceeds estimates, it could signal economic strength, potentially prompting the Bank of Japan to raise rates, which might pressure growth stocks. Conversely, a lower result would likely support continued easing. Investors should monitor the banking and export sectors, especially given recent yen volatility.</p><h4 style="text-align: center;">~~~ Wednesday 01 Apr ~~~</h4><p><em><strong>China Longyuan Power</strong></em> - Analysts expect steady growth in earnings and revenue. This positive outlook is driven by robust renewable energy expansion and improved operational efficiency. This suggests positive read-across for the broader utilities sector and renewable energy equipment manufacturers.</p><p><em><strong>ICON Public Limited</strong></em> - Analysts expect year-over-year declines in earnings and revenue due to market volatility and R&amp;D spending slowdowns. This indicates negative read-across for the clinical research organization sector and broader life sciences tools industry as pharmaceutical outsourcing and financial reporting scrutiny intensify.</p><p><em><strong>China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI MAR</strong></em> - If China RatingDog Manufacturing PMI exceeds estimates, it could boost global risk appetite and emerging market equities. Conversely, a lower result would likely pressure industrial sectors. Investors should focus on private enterprises and high-tech manufacturing, as recent trade tensions and domestic demand shifts continue to impact these metrics.</p><p><em><strong>US Retail Sales MoM FEB</strong></em> - Stronger United States Retail Sales MoM FEB could lead the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates, potentially weighing on growth stocks. Conversely, weaker data might support rate cuts, benefiting the consumer discretionary sector. Recent shifts toward value and &#8220;choiceful&#8221; spending habits among shoppers continue to influence these retail trends.</p><p><em><strong>US ISM Manufacturing PMI MAR</strong></em> - If the United States ISM Manufacturing PMI exceeds estimates, it could bolster industrial equities and delay rate cuts. Conversely, a lower result would likely support defensive sectors. Middle East conflict and rising energy costs could impact future readings, making global energy and manufacturing sectors key areas of interest.</p><h4 style="text-align: center;">~~~ Thursday 02 Apr ~~~</h4><p><em><strong>SAIC Motor Corporation</strong></em> - Analysts expect SAIC Motor to report growth driven by strong export sales and electric vehicle demand. This suggests a positive read-across for the global automotive sector, particularly regarding new energy vehicle adoption and international supply chain expansion in emerging markets.</p><h4 style="text-align: center;">~~~ Friday 03 Apr ~~~</h4><p><em><strong>US Non Farm Payrolls MAR</strong></em> - If United States Non Farm Payrolls exceed estimates, equity markets could face pressure from higher interest rate expectations. Conversely, a lower result might support rate cuts, benefiting growth sectors. Middle East tensions and strikes in healthcare could impact this metric or future readings.</p><p><em><strong>US Unemployment Rate MAR</strong></em> - If the United States Unemployment Rate MAR exceeds estimates, it could signal economic cooling, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to consider rate cuts, which would benefit interest-sensitive sectors like technology. Conversely, a lower-than-expected rate would support higher-for-longer rates. Recent Middle East tensions and oil price shocks remain key risks.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[Mar 23 to 27]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-846</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-846</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2026 14:27:40 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fma1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc3c2dcf1-524d-4fc5-bdcb-56f8f7ab0d93_960x540.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" 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data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f1a916dd-9659-49fc-87ee-5fdfaca798db_1080x1176.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1176,&quot;width&quot;:1080,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:295257,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A rabbit toy watches a chess match.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A rabbit toy watches a chess match." title="A rabbit toy watches a chess match." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tx1H!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff1a916dd-9659-49fc-87ee-5fdfaca798db_1080x1176.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tx1H!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff1a916dd-9659-49fc-87ee-5fdfaca798db_1080x1176.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tx1H!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff1a916dd-9659-49fc-87ee-5fdfaca798db_1080x1176.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!tx1H!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff1a916dd-9659-49fc-87ee-5fdfaca798db_1080x1176.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption">Photo by <a href="https://unsplash.com/@davidkristianto">David Kristianto</a> on <a href="https://unsplash.com">Unsplash</a></figcaption></figure></div><h3>AUDIO BRIEF</h3><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;bb03a99b-ca43-48a1-b389-d1e20c0183a4&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:105.06449,&quot;downloadable&quot;:false,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><h3>SUMMARY</h3><p>The coming week gives us a look into <em><strong>China</strong></em> in a more detailed way as it features key earnings releases from major Chinese firms. We also will have critical economic data coming from <em><strong>Japan</strong></em>, <em><strong>Germany</strong></em>, and the <em><strong>UK</strong></em>.</p><p>In earnings, watch for <em><strong>Bank of China, Xiaomi, PDD Holdings, Pop Mart, ANTA Sports, CNOOC,</strong></em> and <em><strong>BYD</strong></em>. Analysts generally expect strong growth across these names, driven by stable margins in banking, robust EV and smartphone shipments, and successful global expansion in e-commerce and retail. </p><p>These reports will likely influence sentiment in the global EV supply chain, consumer electronics, and international trade finance.</p><p>Key economic data includes <em><strong>Japan</strong></em>&#8217;s Inflation Rate, which may signal future rate moves. In <em><strong>Europe</strong></em>, <em><strong>Germany</strong></em>&#8217;s HCOB Manufacturing PMI and Ifo Business Climate will provide insights into industrial recovery, while the <em><strong>UK</strong></em>&#8217;s Manufacturing and Services PMIs, Inflation Rate, and Retail Sales will be pivotal for interest rate expectations. </p><p>These data points will heavily impact growth-oriented equities, cyclical stocks, and the GBP and EUR currencies amidst ongoing geopolitical and energy price concerns.</p><h3>TOP 10 GLOBAL EARNINGS RELEASES this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/kj8o1/2/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1b59e2f8-feea-4788-a89e-dd5bf1cf0cd9_1220x1598.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/511018e4-73d9-4e64-bbb9-a4811b74d8cc_1220x1598.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;| Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;Create interactive, responsive &amp; beautiful charts &#8212; no code required.&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/kj8o1/2/" width="730" height="1024" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3>KEY ECONOMIC PRINTS this WEEK COMING</h3><div id="datawrapper-iframe" class="datawrapper-wrap outer" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Aw2l0/3/&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1c7a8d57-7b08-4363-9582-5cc6723c7425_1220x1120.png&quot;,&quot;thumbnail_url_full&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cd73b2a9-6e8f-483b-ab2e-2ed7732c2deb_1220x1120.png&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:564,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;Created with Datawrapper&quot;,&quot;description&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-component-name="DatawrapperToDOM"><iframe id="iframe-datawrapper" class="datawrapper-iframe" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/Aw2l0/3/" width="730" height="564" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}();</script></div><h3>EARNINGS &amp; ECONOMICS &amp; THEIR READ ACROSS </h3><p><em><strong>                                                           ~~~ Mon 23 Mar ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>Japan Inflation Rate YoY (FEB) - </strong></em>If Japan's Inflation Rate YoY exceeds estimates, it could prompt the Bank of Japan to review interest rates. Conversely, a lower result would likely support continued monetary easing further, benefiting the domestic banking sector. Persistent yen weakness and energy costs remain key drivers for future readings.</p><p><em><strong>                                                            ~~~ Tues 24 Mar ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>Bank of China - </strong></em>Analysts expect steady Bank of China performance, supported by stable margins and credit growth. Positive sentiment stems from its cross-border settlement leadership and improved asset quality. This suggests positive read-across for the broader banking sector and international trade finance infrastructure.</p><p><em><strong>Xiaomi - </strong></em><strong>Xiaomi is expected to sustain revenue growth, supported by steady smartphone shipments and profitable electric vehicle expansion. This performance suggests positive read-across for the global consumer electronics sector and the burgeoning EV supply chain, particularly for high-end component and battery providers.</strong></p><p><em><strong>Germany HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash (MAR)  -</strong></em> If the DE HCOB Manufacturing PMI Flash exceeds estimates, it would likely boost German and eurozone industrials. Conversely, a lower result could pressure cyclical stocks and lead to lower interest rate expectations. Investors should monitor manufacturing-heavy regions. Recent Middle East conflict and US tariff concerns could dampen output.</p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom S&amp;P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash (MAR) - </strong></em>If the GB S&amp;P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash exceeds estimates, it would likely support the Pound and domestic cyclical stocks. A lower result could prompt earlier interest rate cuts. Investors should focus on UK small-caps and exporters. Recent Middle East tensions and energy price shocks could impact future readings.</p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom S&amp;P Global Services PMI Flash (MAR) - </strong></em>If the GB S&amp;P Global Services PMI Flash exceeds estimates, it would likely support the GBP and domestic cyclical sectors. Conversely, a lower result could pressure these regions. Recent geopolitical tensions and energy price volatility may impact future service sector sentiment and business activity projections.</p><p><em><strong>                                                            ~~~ Wed 25 Mar ~~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>PDD Holdings - </strong></em>Analysts expect strong growth for PDD Holdings, driven by execution, accelerating metrics, international expansion, and supply chain efficiencies. This suggests positive read-across for global e-commerce, cross-border logistics, and digital marketing sectors as they benefit from similar scaling and diversification trends.</p><p><em><strong>Pop Mart International Group - </strong></em>Analysts expect massive growth for Pop Mart, fueled by global expansion and viral character demand. This indicates positive read-across for the designer toy sector and broader consumer discretionary markets, especially for IP-driven entertainment and specialized retail franchises.</p><p><em><strong>ANTA Sports Products - </strong></em>Analysts expect Anta to report solid revenue growth driven by multi-brand momentum. Strong performance in high-end outdoor and basketball segments suggests positive read-across for global sportswear peers and premium technical apparel brands as domestic consumption and international expansion drive scaling.</p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY (FEB) - </strong></em>If GB Inflation Rate YoY exceeds estimates, it would likely pressure the Bank of England to maintain higher interest rates, weighing on UK consumer discretionary and real estate sectors. Conversely, a lower result could bolster domestic equities. Recent energy price fluctuations and wage growth remain key drivers for this metric.</p><p><em><strong>Germany Ifo Business Climate (MAR) - </strong></em>If DE Ifo Business Climate exceeds estimates, it would likely boost German and European equities, particularly in manufacturing and logistics. Conversely, a lower result could weigh on DAX-listed firms. Ongoing Middle East conflicts and energy price volatility may continue to pressure industrial sentiment and impact future readings.</p><p><em><strong>                                                            ~~~ Thurs 26 Mar ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>CNOOC</strong></em> - Analysts expect CNOOC's earnings to grow, supported by rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions. Strong cash flows and competitive valuations bolster sentiment. The report suggests positive read-across for upstream peers and oilfield services, though high input costs may pressure the chemical sector.</p><p><em><strong>Germany GfK Consumer Confidence (APR) - </strong></em>If Germany GfK Consumer Confidence exceeds estimates, it would likely support consumer-discretionary stocks and the broader European retail sector. Conversely, a lower result could signal continued defensive spending. Persistent geopolitical tensions and high energy prices remain key factors that could dampen future consumer morale.</p><p><em><strong>                                                            ~~~ Fri 27 Mar ~~~</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>BYD - </strong></em>BYD expects strong growth driven by electric vehicle leadership and robust sales. This suggests positive read-across for the global EV supply chain, lithium battery manufacturers, and charging infrastructure providers as demand for premium and mass-market models bolsters margins.</p><p><em><strong>United Kingdom Retail Sales MoM (FEB) - </strong></em>If GB Retail Sales MoM exceeds estimates, it could bolster UK consumer-discretionary stocks and reduce pressure for rate cuts. Conversely, a miss might dampen sentiment for domestic retailers. Investors should watch the retail and banking sectors, as recent Middle East tensions and energy price volatility may impact future spending.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[Mar 16-20]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-81d</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-81d</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 16 Mar 2026 13:55:45 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png" width="960" height="540" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:540,&quot;width&quot;:960,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:796333,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.breakingwaters.com/i/191117835?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1A4z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F967ab659-8c5d-4029-9696-613c23fe78e1_960x540.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h4>THE AUDIO BRIEF</h4>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-81d">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave]]></title><description><![CDATA[What Earnings and Economic Reports are coming March 9th to 13th]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 08 Mar 2026 23:16:45 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ohxs!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F906ef26f-507c-492b-9a3b-8289d5c44789_960x540.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;fb9c75c9-0a30-4c24-9604-18445190401f&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:110.65469,&quot;downloadable&quot;:false,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><div 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class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Coming Wave Mar 2 to 6]]></title><description><![CDATA[What earnings and economic data is coming this week]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-mar-2-to-6</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-coming-wave-mar-2-to-6</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 16:17:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure 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stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[What Earnings and Economic Data is Coming Up Next Week]]></title><description><![CDATA[Get ready for the Week Ahead]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/what-earnings-and-economic-data-is</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/what-earnings-and-economic-data-is</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 22 Feb 2026 16:01:21 GMT</pubDate><enclosure 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stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Week Ahead]]></title><description><![CDATA[Feb 16 - 20]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-week-ahead</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-week-ahead</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 15 Feb 2026 17:11:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7rDw!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F187c0665-8978-4dd2-80c3-82b9ee71f9dc_872x381.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p><strong>Note:</strong> This article is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.</p></blockquote><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;03be861a-e934-4d06-85a4-7d42b91cd056&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:98.298775,&quot;downloadable&quot;:true,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><h2><strong>The Global Pulse: AI Infrastructure, Consumer Resilience, and the China Read-Through</strong></h2><p>Welcome to your briefing for the week of <strong>February 16&#8211;20</strong>. </p><p>From the &#8220;reshoring&#8221; trade in Mexico to the scaling of AI data centers in the Middle East and the US, we are looking at a week defined by <strong>cross-border connectivity</strong> and <strong>macro sentiment shifts</strong>.</p><h3><strong>The Week at a Glance</strong></h3><ul><li><p><strong>The AI &amp; Infrastructure Trade:</strong> We get a direct look at the &#8220;picks and shovels&#8221; of the AI revolution. <strong>Analog Devices</strong> and <strong>Schneider Electric</strong> will provide updates on data center demand, while <strong>Saudi Telecom</strong> offers a rare glimpse into digital growth in the Gulf.</p></li><li><p><strong>The Global Consumer Stress Test:</strong> Is the consumer finally cooling? Reports from <strong>Walmart</strong>, <strong>Nestl&#233;</strong>, and <strong>Booking Holdings</strong> will reveal how spending is holding up against the lingering inflation story in the US and Europe.</p></li><li><p><strong>The China Sentiment Shift:</strong> With <strong>Alibaba</strong>, <strong>Hang Seng Bank</strong>, and <strong>a2 Milk</strong> all reporting, investors will be looking for confirmation of any pick-up in regional consumption trends.</p></li><li><p><strong>Regional Powerhouses:</strong> We&#8217;ll be watching <strong>MercadoLibre</strong> and <strong>Banco Ita&#250; Chile</strong> for a pulse check on Latin American fintech and the green economy, alongside <strong>Coca-Cola FEMSA</strong> as a bellwether for the Mexican &#8220;nearshoring&#8221; boom.</p></li></ul><h3><strong>Macro Watch</strong></h3><p>On the economic front, it is a heavy week for central bank watchers. <strong>Inflation prints</strong> out of Germany, the UK, and France will likely dictate the narrative for European rate moves, while <strong>unemployment data</strong> from the UK and Australia will offer clues on how AI could be impacting labor market dynamics.</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7rDw!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F187c0665-8978-4dd2-80c3-82b9ee71f9dc_872x381.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7rDw!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F187c0665-8978-4dd2-80c3-82b9ee71f9dc_872x381.png 424w, 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https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GYZS!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57891035-cfb8-40b6-9ea2-f54fb6e4de65_962x667.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GYZS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57891035-cfb8-40b6-9ea2-f54fb6e4de65_962x667.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GYZS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57891035-cfb8-40b6-9ea2-f54fb6e4de65_962x667.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GYZS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57891035-cfb8-40b6-9ea2-f54fb6e4de65_962x667.png" width="962" height="667" 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GYZS!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57891035-cfb8-40b6-9ea2-f54fb6e4de65_962x667.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GYZS!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57891035-cfb8-40b6-9ea2-f54fb6e4de65_962x667.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GYZS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57891035-cfb8-40b6-9ea2-f54fb6e4de65_962x667.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GYZS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F57891035-cfb8-40b6-9ea2-f54fb6e4de65_962x667.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" 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https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFg3!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a932457-699d-47b2-b02a-a29169205b64_957x450.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFg3!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a932457-699d-47b2-b02a-a29169205b64_957x450.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFg3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a932457-699d-47b2-b02a-a29169205b64_957x450.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!AFg3!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a932457-699d-47b2-b02a-a29169205b64_957x450.png" width="957" height="450" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3a932457-699d-47b2-b02a-a29169205b64_957x450.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:450,&quot;width&quot;:957,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:68618,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://bryanocarroll.substack.com/i/188050810?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3a932457-699d-47b2-b02a-a29169205b64_957x450.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" 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class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>Sources: Bloomberg Finance L.P., Fiscal.ai, Trading Economics, Feb 2026.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[WEEK AHEAD | AI, Luxury and the Global Consumer]]></title><description><![CDATA[Feb 9 - 13]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/week-ahead-ai-luxury-and-the-global</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/week-ahead-ai-luxury-and-the-global</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 08 Feb 2026 16:59:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1554223090-7e482851df45?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwyM3x8ZmVycmFyaXxlbnwwfHx8fDE3NzA1Njk3OTl8MA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>&#128200; What to Watch: AI, Luxury, and the Global Consumer</h2><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;b7aa4a04-73f3-4eb2-a0fa-4ede83513497&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:92.29061,&quot;downloadable&quot;:true,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>Buckle up for a high-stakes week in the markets (Feb 9&#8211;13). Following recent volatility in tech (which hopefully <a href="https://bryanocarroll.substack.com/p/be-greedy-when-others-are-fearful">you slept through</a>) and a flight to safety, we&#8217;re diving into a heavy-hitters&#8217; earnings calendar and critical inflation data that could dictate the next leg of the market cycle.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1554223090-7e482851df45?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwyM3x8ZmVycmFyaXxlbnwwfHx8fDE3NzA1Njk3OTl8MA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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href="https://unsplash.com">Unsplash</a></figcaption></figure></div><h3>&#128269; Key Earnings Themes to Watch:</h3><ul><li><p><strong>The AI Pulse:</strong> <strong>China Mobile</strong> (Mon) and <strong>SMIC</strong> (Tue) will provide crucial data points on China&#8217;s AI journey and the impact of chip embargoes.</p></li><li><p><strong>The Global Consumer:</strong> Results from <strong>Coca-Cola</strong> (Tue) and <strong>McDonald&#8217;s</strong> (Wed) will serve as a &#8220;health check&#8221; for the everyday consumer. Interestingly, a surprise rise in McDonald&#8217;s demand might actually signal a <em>weaker</em> consumer trading down.</p></li><li><p><strong>Luxury &amp; Tech Crossovers:</strong> Watch <strong>Ferrari</strong> (Tue) and <strong>Herm&#232;s</strong> (Thu) for insights into the high-end market in Europe and China. Also, keep an eye on <strong>EssilorLuxottica (Wed)</strong>; its report is expected to shine a light on <strong>Meta&#8217;s</strong> business via the smart glasses surge.</p></li><li><p><strong>Fintech &amp; Recovery:</strong> After a rough week for tech, updates from <strong>Spotify (Tue)</strong>, <strong>Shopify (Wed)</strong>, and <strong>AppLovin (Wed)</strong> will be scrutinized to see if their valuations can hold.</p></li></ul><h3>&#127757; Macro Data Points:</h3><ul><li><p><strong>USA CPI (Fri):</strong> The big one. A lower-than-estimated report could be a major boost for US markets.</p></li><li><p><strong>UK GDP (Thu):</strong> Analysts are hoping for a beat on the 1.2% estimate to help lagging UK stocks.</p></li><li><p><strong>India &amp; Australia:</strong> Watch for India&#8217;s CPI and Australia&#8217;s Household Spending (expected +5.8%) for clues on regional inflation and China-driven activity.</p></li></ul><div><hr></div><p><strong>Which report are you watching most closely?</strong> Let me know in the comments! &#128071;</p><p><em>Disclaimer: For educational purposes only; not investment advice.</em></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Week Ahead | AI and Consumer Health]]></title><description><![CDATA[2nd - 6th Feb]]></description><link>https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-week-ahead-ai-and-consumer-health</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.breakingwaters.com/p/the-week-ahead-ai-and-consumer-health</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[BREAKINGWATERS]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 01 Feb 2026 20:59:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1529410804717-979530809e26?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxMXx8d2F2ZXN8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzY5OTc4ODg4fDA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1529410804717-979530809e26?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxMXx8d2F2ZXN8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzY5OTc4ODg4fDA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" 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water&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="long exposure photography of body of water" title="long exposure photography of body of water" srcset="https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1529410804717-979530809e26?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxMXx8d2F2ZXN8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzY5OTc4ODg4fDA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080 424w, https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1529410804717-979530809e26?crop=entropy&amp;cs=tinysrgb&amp;fit=max&amp;fm=jpg&amp;ixid=M3wzMDAzMzh8MHwxfHNlYXJjaHwxMXx8d2F2ZXN8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzY5OTc4ODg4fDA&amp;ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=80&amp;w=1080 848w, 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href="https://unsplash.com">Unsplash</a></figcaption></figure></div><p><em>This is not investment advice but is for educational and informational purposes only. Source data: Bloomberg Finance L.P. 1 Feb 2026.</em></p><h3><strong>Audio Summary of the Week Ahead</strong></h3><div class="native-audio-embed" data-component-name="AudioPlaceholder" data-attrs="{&quot;label&quot;:null,&quot;mediaUploadId&quot;:&quot;0345e554-659a-4b29-9b22-bc40a595bad1&quot;,&quot;duration&quot;:83.17388,&quot;downloadable&quot;:true,&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>This week is shaping up to be the ultimate <strong>AI Litmus Test</strong> for the market. While we&#8217;ve spent years talking about the &#8220;potential&#8221; of artificial intelligence, the next five days could reveal the proof of performance. From the silicon powering the models to the software analyzing the data&#8212;and the cloud infrastructure holding it all together&#8212;we are about to find out if the AI trade is maturing or just getting started.</p><h3><strong>Quick Calendar: High-Impact AI Reports</strong></h3><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png" width="653" height="133" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:133,&quot;width&quot;:653,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:18923,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://bryanocarroll.substack.com/i/186539403?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5kDv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5ee84ad9-8d56-482e-be6d-a2ae777dbaa4_653x133.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><h3><strong>The AI Power Players</strong></h3><p>The spotlight is firmly on a few key names that driving the current era of tech:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Palantir Technologies (Mon):</strong> Widely considered the &#8220;poster child&#8221; of AI valuation. Its report will likely dictate the sentiment for pure-play AI software for the rest of the quarter.</p></li><li><p><strong>Advanced Micro Devices (Tue):</strong> As a primary rival in the chip space, AMD&#8217;s results provide a vital &#8220;read-across&#8221; for the semiconductor industry and the physical hardware demand for AI.</p></li><li><p><strong>Alphabet &amp; Amazon (Wed/Thu):</strong> These &#8220;Mag 7&#8221; giants are the backbone of the AI era. Investors are specifically watching <strong>Amazon&#8217;s AWS</strong> cloud growth; after concerns at Microsoft, any sign of slowing cloud expansion could rattle the wider market.</p></li><li><p><strong>Uber Technologies (Wed):</strong> Beyond ride-hailing, Uber is a unique barometer for AI application and consumer-facing tech.</p></li></ul><h3><strong>Economic Impact: The &#8220;AI Displacement&#8221; Question</strong></h3><p>The week concludes with the <strong>US Unemployment Rate</strong> on Friday. This isn&#8217;t just a standard macro print this time; the market is looking for evidence of whether AI is finally &#8220;cutting through&#8221; traditional employment channels. With companies like <strong>Pinterest</strong> and <strong>Citi</strong> recently announcing job cuts, the data will help determine if we are seeing a structural shift in the labor market driven by automation.</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bkly!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29584892-4b3e-461b-8d33-6b9c89b44ee8_1070x662.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Bkly!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F29584892-4b3e-461b-8d33-6b9c89b44ee8_1070x662.png 424w, 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